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RESULTS 

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We are proud of our results. In 2024/5 we have delivered again as being kings of the carnivals, while also our best bets have dominated. As you can see from the below, we can have a low strike rate (sometimes as low as 4%) and win big. And unlike the rest, all our results are based on Best Tote Start Price (BTSP). This is a price 100% of members could attain 100% of the time. No stat padding.

We’ve consistently won during the biggest Group 1 carnivals over the last few years, including:

  • Autumn 2023, 2024 & 2025
    Including feature races like the Golden Slipper ($18 and $8), TJ Smith ($26), Doncaster ($22), Blue Diamond ($15),  Australian Guineas ($17), ATC Derby ($54), Galaxy ($10), SA Derby ($31) and more.

  • Winter 2023, 2024 & 2025
    Including the Tatts Tiara ($21), Stradbroke ($16 and best bet) Qld Derby ($21 - and best bet), $61 Group3 and more.

  • Spring 2023 & 2024
    Including Caulfield Cup ($13), Manikato ($22), Caulfield Guineas ($18),  Moir ($15), Memsie ($14) and more.

  • Magic Millions 2023, 2024, 2025
    3/3 Winning Carnivals include nailing the 2 and 3 year old winner in 2023 ($8 and $26) and 2024 ($15 and $14 - best bet) a $210/1 double and more.

  • Warrnambool 2022, 2023,2024 ,2025 
    (including 3 best bet winners one being at the odds of  $36)

  • Grafton and Darwin Carnivals 2025 
    (including best bets $12 and $30)

  • WA Pinnacles Carnival

  • including best bets  GRP 1s Northerly ($26) Winterbottom ($31)

Group1s 22/23 Autumn to now  

to 20March2026

  • Average Price Winner - $16+

  • Average Best Bet Winner - $21

  • +$13,140 on $10xBR

  • POT -  38%+

2025 DATA

Jan1 to 31st Dec

  • Average Price Winner - $14.40+

  • Average Best Bet Winner - $18.92

  • Average Knockout Winner - $35.00+

  • Average GRP1 - $15.91

  • Average GRP - $15.58

  • Highest Price Winner - $69.40

  • Highest Place Dividend - $26.70

  • Highest Best Bet - $69.40

  • Highest Knockout - $56.00

  • Highest GRP1 - $27.80

  • Highest GRP - $61.00

  • Highest Price Double - $133.50 

  • Highest Quinella - $55.80 

  • Highest Quaddie - $8862.40  (Quaddie Killer tipped)

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2024 GROUP 1's

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$10x BR = +$7,946

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

POT  70.38%

AVG PRICE : $15.68

2024/5 SEASON BEST BETS​​

$10x BR = +$18,794

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

POT  33.49%

AVG PRICE : $21.89

2024 CAULFIELD CUP CARNIVAL​​

$10x BR = +$4,190

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

POT  106%

AVG PRICE : $12.11

2025 MAGIC MILLIONS

​​​POT : 155.48%

AVG PRICE : $13.00

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

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2025 WARRNAMBOOL

POT : 153.10%

AVG PRICE : $36.70

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

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2025 BEST QLD WINTER CARNIVAL

POT : 109%

AVG PRICE : $19

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)​​​​

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2025 GRAFTON CARNIVAL ​​​​

POT : 44%

AVG PRICE : $11.40

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

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2025 DARWIN CARNIVAL ​​​​​​

$10xBR  : +$3,111

POT : 87.61%

AVG PRICE : $20.67

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)

2025 PINNACLES CARNIVAL ​​​​​​

$10xBR  : +$2,832

Best Bets

POT : 292%

AVG PRICE : $17.10

Group1s

POT : 284%

AVG PRICE : $27.80

Group1,2,3s

POT : 174$

AVG PRICE : $19.02

Based of BTSP (a price 100% could attain, 100% of the time)​​​​​​

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The Battler Performance RecordPunting isn't about how often you win—it's about how much you win. Because we target high-odds roughies and positive expected value (+EV) instead of low-yield favourites, our strategy is built to flip an entire month or season on a single monster day.Below are our verified, long-term historical benchmarks and carnival results. All tracking is based strictly on BTSP (Best Tote or Starting Price)—a price that 100% of our members can comfortably attain at any time.Core Performance Metrics & Autumn Best BetsAcross a massive sample size covering NSW, VIC, SA, and QLD racing, our disciplined approach consistently beats the bookmaker's margin. While our structural focus on high-odds selections means maintaining a lower strike rate, the profit margins speak for themselves.Overall Best Bets Strike Rate: 8.00%Overall Profit on Turnover (POT): 22.55%Total Return (Staking $10 x BR): $13,125.00 collected from $10,710.00 outlaid ($2,415.00 net profit)Average Winning Price (All Best Bets): $14.78Average Placing Price (All Best Bets): $4.74Regional Best Bets Breakdown:Queensland (QLD): 12.00% Win Rate | 61.14% POT | $11.73 Average Winning PriceNew South Wales (NSW): 12.00% Win Rate | 48.92% POT | $11.33 Average Winning PriceSouth Australia (SA): 4.76% Win Rate | 29.58% POT | $31.00 Average Winning PriceVictoria (VIC): 6.90% Win Rate | $11.85 Average Winning PriceHistorical Carnival ResultsWhen the big racing carnivals arrive, our value-seeking system thrives. Here are our verified Profit on Turnover (POT) figures and average winning dividends across major Australian racing carnivals:Pinnacles Best: 292% POT ($17.10 Average Winner)Pinnacles Group 1: 284% POT ($27.80 Average Winner)Pinnacles GRP 1, 2, & 3: 174% POT ($19.02 Average Winner)Magic Millions: 155.48% POT ($13.00 Average Winner)Warrnambool Carnival: 153.10% POT ($36.70 Average Winner)Queensland Carnival: 109% POT ($17.10 Average Winner)Darwin Carnival: 87.61% POT ($20.67 Average Winner)Grafton Carnival: 44% POT ($11.40 Average Winner | +$3,111 profit at $10xBR)Benchmark Winning DividendsWe don't chase the dopamine hit of short-priced, negative-EV runners. We hunt massive structural overlays in the market, resulting in an elite tier of historical payouts:Category Averages:Average Price Per Winner: $14.40+Average Best Bet Winner: $18.92Average Knockout (KO) Winner: $35.00+Average Group 1 Winner: $15.91Average Group Winner (All GRP): $15.58All-Time Highest Dividends Tipped:Highest Price Winner: $69.40Highest Best Bet: $69.40Highest Group (GRP) Winner: $61.00Highest Knockout (KO) Winner: $56.00Highest Group 1 (GRP1) Winner: $27.80Highest Place Dividend: $26.70Exotic & Multiple Betting Highlights:Highest Quaddie: $8,862.40Highest Price Double: $133.50Highest Quinella: $55.80 (Note: Tipped Quinellas have found collected dividends as high as $100/1+ using our specialized Quinella Cheat Sheets).Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling: Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Horse racing carries inherent risks and variance is an inevitable part of value punting. Aussie Punting Battler provides information and entertainment services only—we do not provide financial advice or wagering services. Set your unit limits responsibly. For help, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelpline.org.au.

Chances are you're about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

The Aussie Punting Battlers are an entertainment and fun service only. We are not a wagering or financial advice service.  Past  performance is not an indicator of future performance. Please read our full terms of service before joining. You must be over the age of 18 years old. By becoming a  member, you acknowledge and agree that you will only place bets with licensed betting service providers
We work hard to provide the most up to date and correct information. We often quote "when tipped" prices based on the price the horse was when we found it and sent to subs. We tip early so this doesn't take into account deductions and may vary on what price the subscriber found due to many reasons out of our control (eg .the time they used the information).
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